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04.07.2024 05:14 AM
Forecast for USD/JPY on July 4, 2024

USD/JPY

As of today, Independence Day in the US, the Bank of Japan has not conducted any intervention. This suggests, as we wrote in the review from June 2, that a currency intervention is possible on Monday, the 8th. For now, the price, after consolidating above 160.40 on June 27, continues to move sideways above this level.

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The Marlin oscillator is turning downwards. We will find out next week whether this serves as a warning of an impending intervention.

On the 4-hour chart, the price and the Marlin oscillator have already formed a quadruple divergence. The Marlin oscillator continues to decline in negative territory.

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The price is now supposed to return to the support at 160.40. But first, it must deal with the support of the MACD line at the 161.06 level. A break above yesterday's high will set the stage for a rise to 163.85.

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
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